Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Lowestoft Town
17.2%
Draw
39.1%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Lowestoft Town
vs
2.70
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS87.7%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.3%
Over 2.591.4%
Over 3.580.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
5.8%
3-2
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
3-3
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
4-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
3.5%
4-3
3.5%
3-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).