Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Alcorcon
31.6%
Draw
52.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Alcorcon
vs
1.16
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS26.7%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.549.1%
Over 2.523.1%
Over 3.58.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.3%
0-0
19.0%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
1.6%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).