Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Cambridge
30.0%
Draw
24.8%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Cambridge
vs
0.76
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).