Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Pordenone
29.0%
Draw
38.1%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Pordenone
vs
1.34
Crotone
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).