Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Sassuolo
25.3%
Draw
36.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Sassuolo
vs
1.35
Genoa
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).