Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Lugano
27.4%
Draw
24.1%
Servette
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Lugano
vs
1.20
Servette
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).