Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.9%
Toulouse
15.4%
Draw
13.7%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Toulouse
vs
1.09
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).