Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Shrewsbury
25.6%
Draw
52.7%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Shrewsbury
vs
1.46
Colchester
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).