Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Sunderland
30.9%
Draw
21.6%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sunderland
vs
0.79
Preston
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).