Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Forest Green
22.7%
Draw
55.9%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Forest Green
vs
1.75
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).