Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Newton Aycliffe
21.4%
Draw
50.3%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Newton Aycliffe
vs
1.94
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).