Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Udinese
28.6%
Draw
24.2%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Udinese
vs
0.82
Lecce
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).