Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Nottingham Forest
28.7%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.05
Burnley
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).