Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Red Star
24.0%
Draw
35.9%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Red Star
vs
1.29
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).