Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
FC Koln
14.5%
Draw
10.2%
Fredericia
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
FC Koln
vs
1.09
Fredericia
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
4-0
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
5-1
3.7%
5-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).