Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Frosinone
24.3%
Draw
47.7%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Frosinone
vs
1.61
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).