Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Skegness Town
25.3%
Draw
47.6%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Skegness Town
vs
1.48
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).