Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Benfica
30.0%
Draw
38.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Benfica
vs
1.24
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).