Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Nimes
21.9%
Draw
30.2%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Nimes
vs
1.31
Caen
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).