Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Getafe
32.9%
Draw
22.9%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Getafe
vs
0.69
Valencia
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
17.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).