Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Willenhall Town
22.8%
Draw
40.3%
Newark Flowserve
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Willenhall Town
vs
1.63
Newark Flowserve
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).