Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Marseille
20.0%
Draw
31.2%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Marseille
vs
1.66
Monaco
Markets
BTTS70.7%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).