Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Sociedad B
25.5%
Draw
37.5%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Sociedad B
vs
1.36
Malaga
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).