Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Sheffield Weds
30.1%
Draw
43.2%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.31
Reading
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).