Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Niort
18.8%
Draw
66.6%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Niort
vs
2.00
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
0-4
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).