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26 Feb 2022 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Wealdstone
26.6%
Draw
44.3%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Wealdstone

vs
1.59

Torquay

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).