Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Charlton
22.9%
Draw
19.4%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Charlton
vs
0.80
Southend
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).