Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Le Havre
26.3%
Draw
14.3%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Le Havre
vs
0.49
Caen
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.1%
0-0
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
9.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
4-0
2.2%
0-2
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).