Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Cambridge
20.9%
Draw
13.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Cambridge
vs
0.66
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).