Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Yeni Malatyaspor
34.0%
Draw
47.8%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Yeni Malatyaspor
vs
1.38
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
14.7%
0-1
12.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).