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24 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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93.7%
Wrexham
5.0%
Draw
1.4%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

4.01

Wrexham

vs
0.48

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS37.7%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.5%
Over 3.565.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
12.1%
3-0
12.1%
5-0
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
5-1
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
1-1
2.4%
4-2
1.4%
3-2
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).