Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Leeds
25.1%
Draw
21.5%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Leeds
vs
1.06
Fulham
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).