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AHT: 11CSV

04 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Albacete
32.7%
Draw
30.2%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Albacete

vs
0.83

Leganes

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.553.1%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.7%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).