Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Sp Braga
24.0%
Draw
21.6%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Sp Braga
vs
0.90
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).