Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Arsenal
22.3%
Draw
13.1%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Arsenal
vs
0.87
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).