Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Portsmouth
16.3%
Draw
16.0%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Portsmouth
vs
1.11
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
7.0%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).