Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Avellino
25.5%
Draw
58.4%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Avellino
vs
1.75
Monza
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).