Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Sevilla
23.3%
Draw
28.2%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Sevilla
vs
1.34
Elche
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).