Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.7%
Reading
25.5%
Draw
56.8%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Reading
vs
1.73
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).