Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Hearts
14.1%
Draw
6.8%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Hearts
vs
0.68
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
5-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).