Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Paris SG
20.9%
Draw
18.5%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Paris SG
vs
0.98
Brest
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).