Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Holstein Kiel
26.6%
Draw
48.8%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.66
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).