Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Atalanta
16.9%
Draw
8.7%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Atalanta
vs
0.59
Pisa
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
6.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).