Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Alanyaspor
35.1%
Draw
22.3%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Alanyaspor
vs
0.88
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.2%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).