Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Stoke
29.0%
Draw
45.7%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Stoke
vs
1.42
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).