⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 00

02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
39.6%
Barking
25.1%
Draw
35.3%
Grays Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Barking

vs
1.29

Grays Athletic

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).