Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Elche
26.0%
Draw
28.5%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Elche
vs
1.15
Valencia
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).