Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Tottenham
23.9%
Draw
56.8%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Tottenham
vs
2.03
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.7%
0-1
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).