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02 Nov 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Saint-Étienne
18.7%
Draw
60.2%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Saint-Étienne

vs
2.27

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS64.2%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
1-1
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
4.1%
0-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).