Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Hoddesdon Town
29.9%
Draw
29.0%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Hoddesdon Town
vs
0.91
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).